2016 Electoral College Map Projections: Is Trump Doomed?
Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican Party nominee Donald Trump are nearing the home stretch of the election season.
Despite Trump still bruising from allegations that he sexually assaulted women and Clinton still bruising from the latest Wikileaks email dump, both nominees remain the two most likely figures to become president.
With the final debate over, three websites that specialize in polling and election forecasting are currently predicting a Clinton victory come November.
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1. Real Clear Politics
On its "no toss ups" map accessed Thursday, Real Clear Politics has the Clinton campaign winning if the election were held today, with the Democratic hopeful securing 333 electoral points to Trump's 205.
Based off of voter data from various sources, the predicted outcome contrasts sharply with their map from earlier this month, when Clinton had 292 electoral points to Trump's 240.
The "no toss-ups" map gives the crucial swing states like Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia to the Clinton campaign, as well as Colorado, New Mexico, and Arizona, the last of which was predicted to go to Trump earlier this month.
While a landslide, the electoral point difference is slightly smaller from where it was a week ago, when the RCP no toss-ups map gave Clinton 340 points and Trump 198.
The decrease is most likely due to Ohio, which a week ago RCP predicted would give its 18 electoral college votes to Clinton but now projects that they will go to Trump.
2. Polly Vote
As with the Real Clear Politics map, Polly Vote's election forecast predicts an overwhelming victory for the Clinton campaign.
In a map updated Thursday morning, the Polly Vote map predicts that Clinton will win 347 electoral points to Trump's 191 electoral points.
Polly Vote listed Florida and Ohio as "Safe Democrat," while putting Iowa, North Carolina, and Virginia in the category of "Lean Democrat."
Polly Vote also labeled Arizona as "Lean Republican," standing in contrast to Real Clear Politics which currently gives the state to Clinton.
3. Five Thirty Eight
The site FiveThirtyEight showcases a major Clinton victory, stating that Clinton has an 86.2 percent chance of winning versus Trump's 13.7 percent chance.
This is a very slight difference from last week's numbers, where Clinton had an 86.8 percent chance of winning and Trump had a 13.2 percent chance of winning.
Five Thirty Eight's map that was accessed Thursday morning gives the Clinton campaign the best odds of winning Arizona, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.
The site presently predicts that Clinton will receive 341.1 electoral points, Trump will receive 196.2 electoral points, Independent conservative Evan McMullin will receive 0.6 electoral points, and Libertarian Gary Johnson will receive 0.1 electoral points.
On the popular vote front, Five Thirty Eight predicts Clinton will get 49.6 percent, Trump will get 43.0 percent, Johnson will get 5.9 percent, and other candidates will get 1.5 percent.
